Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (2024)

VarietyAwards Circuitsection is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars,Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated byVarietysenior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series

Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 13, 2024): The real competitive bloodbath of all the series categories is in the limited or anthology race, where only 49 miniseries are angling for love.

Per Emmy rules, only five shows will receive nominations, short of the required 80 submissions to recognize six. Miniseries have been where some of the buzziest TV hits have emerged in recent years and this one is no different. With acclaimed series such as Netflix’s (maybe?) true story “Baby Reindeer,” Apple’s war epic “Masters of the Air” and HBO/Max’s “The Sympathizer” among the contenders, that could leave any of the presumed frontrunners vulnerable for a shocking omission. The number of submissions is down from last year’s 51. There were 61 and 37 shows during the 2022 and 2021 seasons.

Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 and closes on June 24 at 10:00 p.m. PT. Voting for peer group-specific top ten round panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will take place over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.

Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’sAwards Circuit.

  • Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (2)

    And the Predicted Nominees Are

    RankSeries
    1Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
    2Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)
    3Ripley” (Netflix)
    4True Detective: Night Country” (Max)
    5Fargo” (FX)
  • Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (3)

    Next in Line

    RankSeries
    6Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)
    7All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix)
    8Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)
    9The Sympathizer” (Max)
    10Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)
  • Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (4)

    Also In Contention

    RankSeries
    11Under the Bridge” (Hulu)
    12Mary & George” (Starz)
    13Griselda” (Netflix)
    14We Were the Lucky Ones” (Hulu)
    15Expats” (Prime Video)
    16A Gentleman in Moscow” (Paramount+)
    17Echo” (Disney+)
    18The Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)
    19Manhunt” (Apple TV+)
    20A Murder at the End of the World” (FX)
  • Eligible Titles (Limited or Anthology Series)

    Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (5)

    **Officially submitted and on the Emmy nominations ballot.

    • “Alice & Jack (Masterpiece)” (PBS)
    • “All the Light We Cannot See” (Netflix)
    • “American Horror Story: Delicate” (FX)
    • “Apples Never Fall” (Peaco*ck)
    • “Baby Reindeer” (Netflix)
    • “Black Mirror” (Netflix)
    • “Class of ’09” (FX)
    • “The Continental: From the World of John Wick” (Peaco*ck)
    • “The Crowded Room” (Apple TV+)
    • “Dr. Death” (Peaco*ck)
    • “Echo” (Disney+)
    • “Eric” (Netflix)
    • “Expats” (Prime Video)
    • “The Fall of the House of Usher” (Netflix)
    • “Fargo” (FX)
    • “Fellow Travelers” (Showtime)
    • “Feud: Capote vs. the Swans” (FX)
    • “Franklin” (Apple TV+)
    • “Full Circle” (Max)
    • “Genius: MLK/X” (National Geographic)
    • “A Gentleman in Moscow” (Paramount+)
    • “Ghosts of Beirut” (Showtime)
    • “Griselda” (Netflix)
    • “The Idol” (Max)
    • “Lawmen: Bass Reeves” (Paramount+)
    • “Lessons in Chemistry” (Apple TV+)
    • “The Lost Flowers of Alice Hart” (Prime Video)
    • “A Man in Full” (Netflix)
    • “Manhunt” (Apple TV+)
    • “Mary & George” (Starz)
    • “Masters of the Air” (Apple TV+)
    • “Monsieur Spade” (AMC)
    • “Murdaugh Murders: The Movie” (Lifetime)
    • “A Murder at the End of the World” (FX)
    • “Nada” (Hulu)
    • “Nolly (Masterpiece)” (PBS)
    • “One Day” (Netflix)
    • “The Other Black Girl” (Hulu)
    • “Painkiller” (Netflix)
    • “The Regime” (Max)
    • “Ripley” (Netflix)
    • “Secret Invasion” (Disney+)
    • “The Sympathizer” (Max)
    • “The Tattooist of Auschwitz” (Peaco*ck)
    • “Them: The Scare” (Prime Video)
    • “True Detective: Night Country” (Max)
    • “Under the Bridge” (Hulu)
    • “The Veil” (Hulu)
    • “We Were the Lucky Ones” (Hulu)
  • More Information (Limited or Anthology Series)

    Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (6)

    2023 category winner: “Beef” (Netflix) — Lee Sung Jin, Steven Yeun, Ali Wong, Jake Schreier, Ravi Nandan and Alli Reich, executive producers; Alice Ju and Carrie Kemper, co-executive producers; Alex Russell, supervising producer; Jes Anderson, Savey Cathey, Inman Young and Alex Gayner, producers; Matthew Medlin, produced by

    2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)

    • Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
    • Feb. 29: Submissions open
    • May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
    • June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
    • June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
    • June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
    • July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
    • July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
    • August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
    • August 15: Final-round voting begins.
    • August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
    • Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
    • Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.

    Emmy Prediction Categories

    DramaComedyLimited/Movie
    Drama SeriesComedy SeriesLimited or Anthology Series
    Lead Actor (Drama)Lead Actor (Comedy)Lead Actor (Limited, Movie)
    Lead Actress (Drama)Lead Actress (Comedy)Lead Actress (Limited, Movie)
    Supporting Actor (Drama)Supporting Actor (Comedy)Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie)
    Supporting Actress (Drama)Supporting Actress (Comedy)Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie)
    Directing, Writing (Drama)Directing, Writing (Comedy)Directing, Writing (Limited, Movie)
    Guest Acting (Drama)Guest Acting (Comedy)Television Movie
    Game Show/HostReality Programs
    Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit)Variety Special (Live, Pre-Recorded)Animation/Voice-Over

    About the Primetime Emmy Awards

    The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.

Emmy Predictions: Limited/Anthology Series – ‘Baby Reindeer’ and ‘True Detective’ Among 49 Top-Tier Programs Battling for Five Slots (2024)
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